Date:
Tuesday, April 29, 2014, 3:00pm
Location:
HUCE Seminar Room
Graduate student Marena Lin will lead the discussion of Foster and Rahmstorf (2011), summarized below:
"Following the work of Lean and Rind (2008), Foster and Rahmstorf (2011) use lagged multiple linear regression to determine the influences of ENSO, aerosols, and solar variability on variability of global mean temperature from 1979-2010, applying their analysis to 5 different temperature data-sets. They find that, upon adjusting for these three factors, the hiatus in global mean temperature is removed and global mean temperatures continue to rise into the 21st century. Furthermore, these results suggest that ENSO is the dominant factor in variability of global mean temperature and responsible for declines of 0.014-0.023 Celsius per decade."
Marena also recommends Lean and Rind (2008) as background reading. Both papers are attached here.
 | fosterrahmstorf_2011_globaltempevolution.pdf | 400 KB |
| leanrind_2008_mlrsurfacetemperatures.pdf | 1.32 MB |