Title: "Improved ENSO predictability in coupled climate simulations with stochastic parameterizations”
Abstract: This study investigates the mechanisms by which short-timescale perturbations to atmospheric processes can affect El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in climate models. To this end a control simulation of NCAR’s Community Climate System Model is compared to a simulation in which the model's atmospheric...
Title: “Internal variability, uncertainty, and the Observational Large Ensemble.”
Abstract: Our observationally-based inferences about the forcedf behaviors of the climate system, whether in response to anthropogenic influence or to a mode such as the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), will always be confounded by the presence of internal atmospheric variability. Internal atmospheric variability is sufficiently large that...
Speaker: Professor Claudia Pasquero from University of Milan - Bicocca
Title: "Air-sea fluxes and intense weather events"
Abstract: Intense weather events are an interesting challenge both for short- and long-term predictions. Understanding the effects that the upper ocean state, with its relatively long memory, has on those events can shed light on the relevant mechanisms that contribute to their formation. Here, a focus is given to the effects that the modulation of air-sea fluxes by SST...
Title: "Ocean Heat Uptake and Dynamic Sea Level Rise: Past and Future Uncertainty".
Abstract: The ocean absorbs a significant portion of the anthropogenic heat released in the climate system, leading to an increase in global mean sea level rise. Observed and projected regional patterns of heat uptake in mid- and high-latitudes are controlled in part by changes in ocean circulation....
(1) The intensification of westerlies over the Southern Ocean which is the largest carbon sink in the climate system can reduce or even reverse the carbon sink.
(2) A simple equilibrium mixed layer carbon budget demonstrates that the partial pressure of CO2 in the...