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X-WR-CALNAME;VALUE=TEXT:Special ClimaTea Lecture
PRODID:-//Harvard events data//EN
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UID:event_694506_0
SUMMARY:Special ClimaTea Lecture
DESCRIPTION:<p><span style="font-size: medium; font-family: georgia, palatino;" data-mce-mark="1"><em>"</em><em>Gradient Wind Imbalance at the Outflow of Hurricanes"</em> by Yair Cohen</span></p><p></p><p><span style="font-size: medium; font-family: georgia, palatino;" data-mce-mark="1">Abstract</span></p><p><span style="font-size: medium; font-family: georgia, palatino;" data-mce-mark="1">The gradient wind balance is an integral part of tropical meteorology and of Hurricanes in particular. It is only </span><span style="font-size: medium; font-family: georgia, palatino;" data-mce-mark="1">due to this balance that the otherwise in</span><span style="font-family: georgia, palatino;">effectively large </span><span style="font-size: medium; font-family: georgia, palatino;" data-mce-mark="1">deformation radius in the tropics can be locally </span><span style="font-size: medium; font-family: georgia, palatino;" data-mce-mark="1">reduced to sensible scales so that a </span><span style="font-family: georgia, palatino;">quasibalance </span><span style="font-size: medium; font-family: georgia, palatino;" data-mce-mark="1">flow may organize in a scale of a Hurricane. Moreover, to </span><span style="font-family: georgia, palatino;">zeros order </span><span style="font-size: medium; font-family: georgia, palatino;" data-mce-mark="1">the primary circulation in a Hurricane is regarded to be in gradient balance and therefore the </span><span style="font-size: medium; font-family: georgia, palatino;" data-mce-mark="1">basic understanding of Hurricanes was sought in axisymmetric </span><span style="font-size: medium; font-family: georgia, palatino;" data-mce-mark="1">models, in which this balanced is imposed </span><span style="font-size: medium; font-family: georgia, palatino;" data-mce-mark="1">via the Sawyer </span><span style="font-family: georgia, palatino;">Eliasson equation (e.g. Charley and Eliassen, 1964; Ooyama, 1969; Emanuel, 1986). </span><span style="font-size: medium; font-family: georgia, palatino;" data-mce-mark="1">However, an axisymmetric </span><span style="font-size: medium; font-family: georgia, palatino;" data-mce-mark="1">Hurricane has to be equivalent barotropic a </span><span style="font-size: medium; font-family: georgia, palatino;" data-mce-mark="1">state in which the contours of </span><span style="font-size: medium; font-family: georgia, palatino;" data-mce-mark="1">geopotential height and of temperature are parallel and </span><span style="font-size: medium; font-family: georgia, palatino;" data-mce-mark="1">the geostrophic wind does not veer with height. In </span><span style="font-size: medium; font-family: georgia, palatino;" data-mce-mark="1">such Hurricanes a High at the </span><span style="font-family: georgia, palatino;">topcezter is located directly above the Low at its bottom center. </span><span style="font-size: medium; font-family: georgia, palatino;" data-mce-mark="1">When a </span><span style="font-size: medium; font-family: georgia, palatino;" data-mce-mark="1">storm is small enough, the combined gradient and curvature of the isobaric map at its top could yield a </span><span style="font-size: medium; font-family: georgia, palatino;" data-mce-mark="1">scenario in which the sum of the outwards pointing centrifugal and pressure gradient forces cannot be </span><span style="font-size: medium; font-family: georgia, palatino;" data-mce-mark="1">balanced by the </span><span style="font-family: georgia, palatino;">inward pointing </span><span style="font-size: medium; font-family: georgia, palatino;" data-mce-mark="1">Coriolis force. In that case the gradient wind balance is violated (gradient </span><span style="font-size: medium; font-family: georgia, palatino;" data-mce-mark="1">imbalance) which enhances the divergence at the hurricanes' outflow.</span></p><p><span style="font-size: medium; font-family: georgia, palatino;" data-mce-mark="1"></span><span style="font-size: medium; font-family: georgia, palatino;" data-mce-mark="1">In this work, some fifty three Hurricanes during 20042015 </span><span style="font-size: medium; font-family: georgia, palatino;" data-mce-mark="1">in the </span><span style="font-family: georgia, palatino;">Pacific </span><span style="font-size: medium; font-family: georgia, palatino;" data-mce-mark="1">and </span><span style="font-family: georgia, palatino;">Atlantic </span><span style="font-size: medium; font-family: georgia, palatino;" data-mce-mark="1">basins are tracked </span><span style="font-size: medium; font-family: georgia, palatino;" data-mce-mark="1">in a 12km resolution </span><span style="font-size: medium; font-family: georgia, palatino;" data-mce-mark="1">North American Mesoscale </span><span style="font-size: medium; font-family: georgia, palatino;" data-mce-mark="1">model (NAM12). This data set is used in order to examine </span><span style="font-size: medium; font-family: georgia, palatino;" data-mce-mark="1">the imbalance at the top of Hurricanes and the associated divergence mechanism. We find that the storms </span><span style="font-size: medium; font-family: georgia, palatino;" data-mce-mark="1">in the data are almost equally divided into two groups: 1. Small, organized (i.e. equivalent barotropic) storms </span><span style="font-size: medium; font-family: georgia, palatino;" data-mce-mark="1">in which the gradient wind balance in violated at their top and 2. Large, less organized storms, in which the </span><span style="font-size: medium; font-family: georgia, palatino;" data-mce-mark="1">gradient balance holds anywhere in the free atmosphere. It is found that the smaller storms the intensity of </span><span style="font-size: medium; font-family: georgia, palatino;" data-mce-mark="1">the imbalance is well correlated with outflow intensity, minimum 850mb geopotential height and maximum </span><span style="font-size: medium; font-family: georgia, palatino;" data-mce-mark="1">wind speed. Similar correlations in the group large storms is very poor. Moreover for a given maximal </span><span style="font-size: medium; font-family: georgia, palatino;" data-mce-mark="1">temperature perturbation in the warm core, in the smaller (organized) storms the minimum 850mn </span><span style="font-size: medium; font-family: georgia, palatino;" data-mce-mark="1">geopotential height is exactly 60m lower than in the larger storms implying stronger storms for the same </span><span style="font-size: medium; font-family: georgia, palatino;" data-mce-mark="1">temperature perturbation.</span></p><p><span style="font-size: medium; font-family: georgia, palatino;">T</span><span style="font-size: medium; font-family: georgia, palatino;">hese findings motivate a relaxation of the gradient wind balance in an idealized Hurricane model. Towards </span><span style="font-size: medium; font-family: georgia, palatino;">the end of the talk a novel, convective permitting, layer model </span><span style="font-size: medium; font-family: georgia, palatino;">will be presented along with its conservation </span><span style="font-size: medium; font-family: georgia, palatino;">laws.</span></p>
LOCATION:HUCE Seminar Room
STATUS:CONFIRMED
DTSTART:20160505T190000Z
DTEND:20160505T190000Z
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