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X-WR-CALNAME;VALUE=TEXT:ClimaTea Journal Club: "Contrasting responses of mean and extreme snowfall to climate change"
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SUMMARY:ClimaTea Journal Club: "Contrasting responses of mean and extreme snowfall to climate change"
DESCRIPTION:<div><span style="color: #000000;">For this week's discussion, Post-doc Tim will be presenting O'Gorman (2014), "</span><span style="color: #000000;">Contrasting responses of mean and extreme snowfall to climate change." Tim summerizes the paper below: </span></div><p><br><span>As we are currently witnessing, <span>extreme</span> snow events have a significant economic impact in mid-latitude regions! Mean seasonal <span>snowfall</span> has been found to decline strongly with global warming, except in regions where the temperatures are so low that all winter precipitation, even in a warmer climate, will still fall as snow. O'Gorman (2014) looks at the response of <span>extreme</span> daily <span>snowfall</span> in CMIP5 model simulations of the 21st century, and finds that the <span>extremes</span> of daily <span>snowfall</span> change much less with warming than does the seasonal mean. He develops a theory to explain this finding, with the simple reason for the result being that <span>extreme</span> <span>snowfall</span> events are most likely to occur at surface temperatures slightly below freezing, regardless of the mean monthly temperature. Thus, unlike seasonal average <span>snowfall</span>, <span>extremes</span> of daily <span>snowfall</span> are probably not a good indicator of regional climate change.    </span></p>
LOCATION:HUCE Seminar Room
STATUS:CONFIRMED
DTSTART:20150303T200000Z
DTEND:20150303T210000Z
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