ClimaTea Journal Club: "Increasing frequency of extreme El Nino events due to greenhouse warming"

Date: 

Tuesday, February 3, 2015, 3:00pm to 4:00pm

Location: 

HUCE Seminar Room

Speaker: G.S. Lauren Kuntz

Abstract:

El Nino events are a component internal variability in the climate system with global impacts. A number of modeling, observational, and theoretical studies have attempted to forecast how greenhouse warming will impact El Nino, but have yet to reach to a consensus. Cai et al. (2014) attempt to answer this question by investigating the changes in frequency of extreme El Nino events, and find that accelerated warming on the equator relative to the ITCZ position will increases the frequency of extreme events. We will discuss this work and also consider it in light of the observed decrease in El Nino events over the past 10-15 years

cai_et_al_2014.pdf1.03 MB